Showing posts with label election polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label election polls. Show all posts

Saturday, September 29, 2007

Official Polls? Scientific Polls? Margin of Error? Straw Polls?

Alright, it's time we address the huge piece of disinformation coming out of the mainstream media regarding polls.

The media keeps telling us Ron Paul is a "longshot" because he only registers 3-4% in polls. However, they will only consider a couple of major sources for polls like Gallop and Zogby. Well does anyone know how these national poll companies figure out who the "likely voters" are that they will call?

"Likely voters" are basically those who voted in the last republican primary. Tell me, mainstream media, how in the world is this "scientific" or even close to accurate, when a candidate like Ron Paul is drawing more than half of his support from people who were not registered as Republicans in 2004? Paul draws in former democrats, libertarians, independents, and constitutionalists. These people would never get called in a poll!

On top of that I have another major problems with these old-line media polls. They only call people on their land telephone lines! Since Ron Paul is getting a lot of support from the 18-29 age group, and many of them use cell phones only, it's not likely that these pollsters will be calling much from that age group.

The polls are fixed and completely inaccurate. It's time we stopped paying attention to them and instead look at other real life meaningful polls like text message polls, straw polls, and online polls where people can only vote once. Ron Paul by the way is doing just fine in each of these categories.

Ignore the media disinformation and support Ron Paul for president 2008!

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Phone polls vs. Internet polls

The T.V. likes to keep telling us that phone polls are "scientific", while internet polls are unscientific, indidcating they are skewed.

How can this be?

Phone polls are definitely skewed. First, this assumes the person has a land line. Second, it assumes these people they bug at home are likely voters.

Who is a more likely voter, someone you call randomly at home at night on their land line, or someone going to political websites and voluntarily filling out a poll?

I would say the internet user is more likely a voter.

Of course, both polls are skewed, but for us to give full credence to one and ignore the other is ridiculous!